Where Does Your City Sit on Its Fifty-Year Growth Line?
Melbourne
-15.2%
Actual price
Implied trend
Above trend
Below trend
Implied: $1.0M
Actual: $863k
Gap: -$154,182
ABS median house prices · Trend anchored 1970–2020
Sydney sits almost exactly on its fifty-year compound growth trajectory. Melbourne has fallen furthest below trend of any Australian capital — and the gap is widening. Brisbane and Perth have surged above their long-run lines. This is where the cycle really stands.
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