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Long-Run Analysis

Where Does Your City Sit on Its Fifty-Year Growth Line?

Melbourne

-15.2%
CAGR 8.4% p.a. · 1970–2024
Actual price Implied trend Above trend Below trend
Implied: $1.0M Actual: $863k Gap: -$154,182
ABS median house prices · Trend anchored 1970–2020

Sydney sits almost exactly on its fifty-year compound growth trajectory. Melbourne has fallen furthest below trend of any Australian capital — and the gap is widening. Brisbane and Perth have surged above their long-run lines. This is where the cycle really stands.

Data: ABS Residential Property Price Indexes · 1975–2026 · Capital City Composite
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